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The accelerating of the economic growth of Russia after the COVID-19 crisis

https://doi.org/10.28995/2073-6304-2021-4-35-54

Abstract

The purpose of the study is a solution in the issue of accelerating economic growth in Russia, which was relevant even before the “covid” economic crisis, retaining its central importance after it. Various approaches are analyzed to identify opportunities to achieve the goal of accelerating growth. The research methodology is a macroeconomic and structural analysis of growth, the application of which makes it possible to identify the presence of not only the lack of investment for the new growth model, but also the lack of aggregate demand, which is evident from the increase in social stratification and the growth of poverty in Russia.
 The article considers various options of macroeconomic policy that can be used to overcome the “covid” economic crisis with an assessment of the expected effectiveness of their application.
It also carries out a structural analysis of GDP by expenditures revealing how the 2020 crisis was distributed (by quarters) by the components of the product being created. That makes it possible to reveal the extent of the impact of the crisis on the economy, which must be taken into account when formulating a policy of economic growth with a solution to the issue of accelerating it after a “covid” crisis.
Analysis of the structure of GDP growth gives a clear idea of the root causes of the sluggish pre-crisis dynamics of the Russian economy. It is only after the elimination of those reasons one should be engaged in organizing a new growth model in Russia. The recipes for macroeconomic policy and forecasts proposed today only reflect the current state of affairs, without in any way advancing the above issue. The analytical perspective for the solution is seen in the subordinate goal of accelerating the correction growth of the structure and institutions regulating the economy.
So and in no other way one can ensure not only the pace, but also the quality of future growth.

About the Author

S. O. Sukharev
Russian Academy of Sciences Institute of Economics
Russian Federation

Oleg S. Sukharev, Dr. of Sci. (Economics), professor

bld. 32, Nakhimovskii Avenue, Moscow,117218



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Review

For citations:


Sukharev S.O. The accelerating of the economic growth of Russia after the COVID-19 crisis. RSUH/RGGU BULLETIN. Series Economics. Management. Law. 2021;(4):35-54. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.28995/2073-6304-2021-4-35-54

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ISSN 2073-6304 (Print)